This isn’t the Bear Market of March 2020
We all remember the circuit breaker days of the market falling off of a cliff in March of 2020. It was a panic-inducing few days that felt like years. It didn’t even qualify as a bear market and in hindsight was just a few really down days. It sparked the most rabid bull run that seemed to have no end.
By the end of 2020 agencies started reaping the benefits of that bull run. 2021 was marked by record-breaking growth for most. Outbound, inbound, referrals – new business was everywhere. The biggest problem was how to staff all the new business.
The bull run has indeed ended and there are no stimulus plans on the horizon. Until inflation is under control, the plan is to cool the economy not stimulate it. It takes time so the present market we are in is likely not going away in the near future.
A Well-Rounded Outbound and Inbound Strategy is More Important Than Ever
Brands Are Hungry For an Expert to Help Them Navigate This Environment
The one thing this market does have in common with March – October 2020 is volatility. Target is a perfect picture of that volatility. They missed their Q1 earnings for the first time since 2018….by a whopping 29%. They reported on May 18, 2022 and when asked by an analyst at Barclays why they didn’t give a pre-announcement that it was going to be this bad on analyst day just 2 months earlier on March 1st, Brian Cornell their CEO replied, “as we stand in front of you and others in March, we did not anticipate the rapid shifts we’ve seen over the last 60 days. We did not anticipate that transportation and freight costs would soar the way they have as fuel prices were then risen to all-time highs. While we were certainly anticipating the impact of overlapping stimulus and our consumer and guest returning to more normal activities, we did not expect to see the dramatic shift in many categories that we’ve talked about, the shift from categories like TVs to luggage, from small appliances to toys, and guests celebrating being out with friends. That certainly impacted our business in the first quarter, and we expect that to continue in Q2. And we certainly didn’t anticipate the impact that would have on our supply chain costs. So, things changed rapidly after we sit on stage in New York. We own that. It’s what we’re adjusting as we build our plans for the balance of the year.”
Brands are looking for agency experts to help them navigate the volatility. POV thought leadership pieces and problem/solution pieces go a long way in this market. Because of the volatile conditions, the needs are changing at a rapid speed. Your outbound messaging needs to change as the landscape changes. Focusing concise messaging to your Right to Win categories will land you new opportunities to thrive in a down market.